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knew that firms were making heavy use of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to size up growth opportunities, but that the model was only as good as its inputs. But that article was written a decade ago, and still the CAPM rules — and as for how to come up with the crucial inputs to it, well, practice remains all over the map.
This is the key finding of the Current Trends in Estimating and Applying the Cost of Capital research released this week by the Association for Financial Professionals, a trade group of 16,000 corporate treasury and finance practitioners. Download this pdf for an executive summary, or login here for the full report.)
I think he got the Nobel nod (instead of somebody like Andy Lo , or Mordechai Kurz , or Roman Frydman ) because he was (1) very early to the game, (2) a macroeconomist (the Nobel people generally seem more comfortable with macro than with finance), and (3) most suited to being shoehorned into a narrative of steady scientific progress.
He got his PhD at Yale under Shiller’s supervision in 1984, but since then he has also done a lot of work expanding on Fama’s ideas about risk and return, some of it co-authored with Fama’s son-in-law and University of Chicago finance colleague, John Cochrane. And the theory that was available then was CAPM. It goes back to the 1970s.
In particular, we are interested in how many of their responses correlate with what academic finance knows and what it teaches. Furthermore, few PE investors explicitly use the capital asset price model (CAPM) to determine a cost of capital. the notion that debt financing can be “cheap” at certain times).
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