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How Could I Miss That? Jamie Dimon on the Hot Seat

Harvard Business Review

As the second week of May began, Dimon realized, "The last thing I told the market — that it was a tempest in a teapot — was dead wrong," the Journal reports. housing market could collapse and trigger a global financial crisis. Finally, on April 30, Dimon demanded to see the specific trading positions.

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The End of Economists' Imperialism

Harvard Business Review

"By almost any market test, economics is the premier social science," Stanford University economist Edward Lazear wrote just over a decade ago. Two years later, in 2002, the co-leader of that invasion, Princeton psychology professor Daniel Kahneman, won an economics Nobel (the other co-leader, Amos Tversky, had died in 1996).

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Why Those Guys Won the Economics Nobels

Harvard Business Review

He got his PhD at Yale under Shiller’s supervision in 1984, but since then he has also done a lot of work expanding on Fama’s ideas about risk and return, some of it co-authored with Fama’s son-in-law and University of Chicago finance colleague, John Cochrane. When the Riksbank Prizes in Economic Sciences (a.k.a. It goes back to the 1970s.

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How to Know If a Spin-Off Will Succeed

Harvard Business Review

The first category is exogenous factors over which the business has little control: the growth of the markets into which it sells; the competitive intensity and thus the average profitability of the industry in which it operates; or the fragmentation of its industry and thus the scope for a growth-by-acquisition approach.

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Instinct Can Beat Analytical Thinking

Harvard Business Review

This popular triumph of the “ heuristics and biases ” literature pioneered by psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky has made us aware of flaws that economics long glossed over, and led to interesting innovations in retirement planning and government policy. It is not, however, the only lens through which to view decision-making.